With the Women's Super League season approaching its end, Arsenal must find top gear to complete a stunning comeback in the title race.

The Gunners moved eight points behind leaders Manchester City after thrashing Leicester City 7-0 on Wednesday, and Renee Slegers' side have two games in hand on their counterparts.

MD21 starts with Champions League chasing Manchester United hosting Brighton on Saturday, before City take on Liverpool a day later.

Tottenham face London City Lionesses, while Chelsea, who are also still within a slim chance of winning the title, travel to Leicester City.

Aston Villa and West Ham will go head-to-head on Monday, before Arsenal close out the action two days later against Brighton, with the Gunners back in Women's Champions League action this weekend.

Here’s how the Opta supercomputer predicts MD21 will unfold, with Arsenal and Chelsea hoping for another slip-up from Man City.

An updated look at the #BarclaysWSL table  pic.twitter.com/QwWAmuMONu

— Barclays Women's Super League (@BarclaysWSL) April 29, 2026

MANCHESTER UNITED V BRIGHTON

United are two points behind Arsenal, who currently occupy the final Champions League spot, but the Red Devils have played two more games than the Gunners.

The Red Devils have won just one of their last four WSL games, failing to score in the other three (D2 L1) – two of those have finished goalless with United recording four 0-0 draws this season, the joint-most ever in a WSL campaign along with Chelsea in 2018-19.   

United won their final home game in each of their first three WSL seasons (excluding 2019-20), but have since failed to win in their most recent two – they lost 6-0 to Chelsea in 2023-24 and drew 2-2 with City last term.  

However, the Opta supercomputer predicts them to get back to winning ways, giving United a 71.3% chance of victory against Brighton, who have been given a win probability of 12.3% and 16.4% chance of clinching a draw.

Brighton have won just one of their 13 WSL meetings with United (D3 L9), a 1-0 victory in April 2021.  

The Seagulls did beat league leaders City 3-2 on MD20 and could become only the second team in WSL history to beat both Manchester clubs in back-to-back matches after Chelsea in November 2024. 

MANCHESTER CITY V LIVERPOOL

City are still overwhelming favourites to win the league, despite their loss to Brighton last time out, with the Opta supercomputer assigning the Citizens a 92.5% chance of lifting the trophy next month.

And a win against Liverpool could then be enough, if Arsenal fail to win their next match.

They also have an impressive home record against Liverpool; City have won eight of their nine home games against the Reds in the WSL, winning six in a row since a 1-1 draw in June 2016. 

The key for Liverpool will be stopping Khadija Shaw, who is three goals away from equalling the record for the most goals scored in a single WSL season, currently held by Vivianne Miedema (2022-23) and Rachel Daly (2018-19), who both scored 22 times.

City pair Shaw (81 goals, 18 assists) and Lauren Hemp (52 goals, 47 assists) are both one goal involvement away from reaching 100 in the WSL; Shaw (91 appearances) would be the second-fastest to a century behind Miedema (83).

Andree Jeglertz's side won 81.9% of the Opta supercomputer's pre-match predictions, while Liverpool won just 6.9% of them and secured a draw on 11.2% of occasions.

Liverpool have lost 11 league games this season and they could tie their highest number of defeats in a WSL campaign, set in 2018-19 (12). Manager Gareth Taylor only lost 12 of 60 games across his final three seasons with City.

TOTTENHAM V LONDON CITY LIONESSES

London City have won 24 points in the WSL this season (W7 D3 L10), the most ever by a newly promoted club in the competition.

Their next win will also set a record for the most victories in a campaign by a promoted side (seven currently), while they could still finish above Spurs in the table.

However, the Lionesses won just 24.9% of the Opta supercomputer's pre-match simulations compared to Spurs' 49.7%. 25.4% of the simulations ended as a draw.

Spurs have won each of their last five WSL home games against newly promoted opposition, since a 3-0 loss to United in October 2019, when Spurs themselves were also a promoted side. 

No team have recorded more clean sheets at home in the WSL this season than Spurs (5); they have not kept back-to-back shutouts on home turf in the same WSL campaign since September 2021 however (versus Birmingham and Reading).

LEICESTER CITY V CHELSEA

Chelsea are still mathematically in the title race, sitting six points behind City with two games to go, but their significantly inferior goal difference (18) means their title defence is all but over.

Since the start of MD15 in February, Chelsea have won the most points in the WSL (16 – P6 W5 D1) – before this run of five wins in six, the Blues had won only four of 10 league matches (D3 L3).

And the Opta supercomputer have given Chelsea an 81.7% chance of victory against Leicester, who are guaranteed to finish in the relegation play-off spot after losing to Arsenal.

The Foxes have an 8.1% chance of winning all three points and a 10.2% probability of a draw, but Leicester have lost each of their last four WSL home games.

Of teams to face another more than five times in the WSL, Chelsea’s average of 4.3 goals per game against Leicester is the highest of any fixture (39 in nine).

Leicester have lost eight of their nine WSL games against Chelsea, with the exception of a 1-1 home draw in December 2024 – the Foxes have conceded 3+ goals in six of those defeats.

ASTON VILLA V WEST HAM

West Ham were 1-0 winners last time out against Liverpool, and the Hammers will be looking to win back-to-back WSL games for the first time since January-February 2024 (versus Bristol City and Arsenal).

Villa, meanwhile, have lost five of their last seven WSL games (W1 D1), conceding four or more goals in four of those losses; overall the Villans have done so five times in 2025-26, their most times conceding 4+ goals in a single Women’s Super League campaign.  

However, the Opta supercomputer backs the home side to win at Villa Park, giving them a 52% chance of victory to West Ham's 23.5%, with 24.5% of the pre-match simulations ending as a draw.

West Ham have lost just one of their five away games against Villa in the WSL (W2 D2), though it was in this fixture last season, as they went down 3-1.

This will be Villa's first league game in 36 days, since a 4-3 loss to Chelsea in March, making it their joint-longest gap between WSL games in a season (also happened in 2020-21).

BRIGHTON V ARSENAL

This fixture was originally scheduled for MD16 but postponed due to a waterlogged pitch. Arsenal's original MD21 game against Everton is now set to take place on May 13.

Arsenal recorded 16 shots on target in their recent win over Leicester, only having more in one WSL game in their history (18 vs West Ham in September 2020); the Gunners have had 10+ shots on target in four different league matches this term, with only City doing so more often (five before MD21).

19y 200d - Last night against Leicester, Arsenal's Smilla Holmberg became the second youngest player in @BarclaysWSL history to be directly involved in three goals in a game (2 goals, 1 assist), behind only Georgia Stanway in July 2016 (17y 210d - hat-trick for Man City vs… pic.twitter.com/ZM93vLsJ2V

— OptaJoe (@OptaJoe) April 30, 2026

Arsenal are unbeaten in each of their last 13 WSL games (W10 D3) and could equal their longest unbeaten streak in a single WSL campaign, set in their invincible title-winning season of 2012 (W10 D4).    

The Opta supercomputer has given Arsenal a 67.6% chance of victory against Brighton, who have a win probability of 14.7% and 17.7% chance of securing a draw.

Brighton have lost 14 of their 15 WSL games against Arsenal, though their sole victory did come in this fixture last season, winning 4-2 in their final home match of the campaign.

Among fixtures to be played as often as this one (at least 15), Arsenal's win rate of 93% against Brighton (14/15) is the greatest one side boasts over another in the Women's Super League.