Tottenham are spiralling.

They have not won a Premier League match in 2026. They are just one point above the relegation zone. They have lost their last six games in all competitions, which is their worst-ever run.

Opta's supercomputer is still backing Spurs to avoid the drop (giving them an 81.9% chance of staying up), but with nine games to go, they are very much in the mire.

They are the only top-flight team yet to win a game in the competition this calendar year. A welcome distraction had come in the form of the Champions League, but their woes followed them into Europe on Tuesday, as they succumbed to a 5-2 defeat to Atletico Madrid.

Spurs were 4-0 down inside 22 minutes, with goalkeeper Antonin Kinsky, included at Guglielmo Vicario's expense, dragged off 17 minutes in after some calamitous errors. 

Igor Tudor came in for plenty of criticism in the wake of the disaster in the Spanish capital, but as it stands, the Croatian, who has made the worst start of any Tottenham boss, will be in place to take Spurs to face Liverpool at Anfield.

He was meant to steady the ship and guide Spurs through to the end of the season, but if matters continue to go south, surely there is only one way this is ending.

Spurs could well be in the bottom three if results elsewhere go against them by the time they kick off on Sunday. 

There is little margin for error, and if Spurs are to drag themselves clear, they need to start pulling results from somewhere.

Will they change the narrative this weekend? Using Opta insights, we delve into the key numbers.

What's expected?

The Opta supercomputer is, unsurprisingly, backing Liverpool here, giving the Reds a 65.1% win probability.

Spurs came out on top in just 16.1% of the model's 10,000 data-led sims. There is an 18.8% chance of a draw.

Liverpool have lost just one of their last 31 home league games against Spurs (W21 D9), and are unbeaten in 14 (W10 D4) since a 2-0 loss in May 2011.

Spurs have won just one of their last 16 Premier League games against Liverpool (D3 L12), losing the last four in a row since a 2-1 home win in September 2023.

Liverpool vs Tottenham is the highest-scoring fixture in Premier League history, with 209 goals.

The Reds have scored 127 of these, with only Liverpool themselves netting more against a specific opponent in the competition (131 vs Newcastle United).

Faltering Reds

It has been a dismal title defence from Liverpool, who could not say they would have been worthy of three points when they slumped to a last-gasp 2-1 defeat to Wolves last time out in the league.

However, Liverpool are still gunning for a place in the top four and will have the Anfield crowd on their side.

Liverpool have lost nine Premier League games this season, more than they did in 2023-24 (four) and 2024-25 (four) combined (eight).

The Reds last suffered 10+ defeats in a league season in 2015-16 (10), and last did so under a single manager in 2014-15 under Brendan Rodgers (12).

Like Spurs, Liverpool also come into this game on the back of a defeat in the Champions League, albeit they only went down 1-0 to Galatasaray.

Before that, Liverpool beat Wolves 3-1 in the FA Cup, but there is no doubt that the defeat at Molineux three days earlier represented a blow to Arne Slot, whose team continue to give away goals late on.

Liverpool have lost five Premier League games thanks to 90th-minute or later goals this season, the most ever by a team in a single campaign.

In fact, Liverpool's second halves have produced a league-high 59 goals (32 for, 27 against).

On the other hand, only Sunderland (25) have seen fewer goals in the first halves of their Premier League games this season than Liverpool (28 – 16 for, 12 against), while only Burnley's first halves have seen more goals (46) than Spurs (42 – 16 for, 26 against). So, maybe expect drama later on in this contest?

A long time coming

Only five times has a team gone longer without a win from the start of a calendar year in the competition than Spurs have in 2026 – Crystal Palace in 2016 (12) and 2023 (12), Middlesbrough in 2017 (14), Sunderland in 2003 (17) and Derby County in 2008 (18).

Spurs are winless in 11 league matches. They have lost each of their last five Premier League games; only in February 1994 (seven) and November 2004 (six) have they ever suffered 6+ successive defeats in their league history.

But this slump has been a long time coming.

Since the start of last season, Spurs have won only 18 league games. Of the ever-present top-flight teams in that time, only Wolves (15) have collected fewer wins.

Only Wolves (40) have lost more Premier League matches since the start of 2024-25 than Spurs (36).

Spurs have shipped 111 goals, trailing just West Ham (116) and Wolves (121), while their 108.0 xG against in that time is the worst in the division.

But perhaps getting away from Tottenham Hotspur Stadium will be a good thing for Spurs.

They have earned 19 of their 29 points in the Premier League this season away from home, a ratio of 66%.

In the competition's history, only Ipswich Town in 2024-25 (68% – 15/22) and Palace in 1997-98 (67% – 22/33) have ever earned a larger share of their points on the road.

PLAYERS TO WATCH

Liverpool – Mohamed Salah

It has been an underwhelming season for Mohamed Salah, who could well be into his Liverpool swansong.

The Egyptian did score against Wolves last time out in the league, though, and he has netted 16 times in his career against Spurs across all competitions (14 for Liverpool, one for Fiorentina, one for Basel), his joint-most against a single opponent (also 16 v Manchester United).

Twelve of those have come in the Premier League, with only Alan Shearer (14) netting more against Spurs in the competition.

Tottenham – Richarlison

Ex-Everton striker Richarlison, who helped drag the Toffees to safety in 2022 prior to his move to Spurs, will be out to prove a point.

Richarlison has been involved in more Premier League goals against Liverpool than any other opponent (eight – five goals, three assists), including five in five games with Spurs (three goals, two assists).

His next goal or assist will be his 100th in the Premier League (72 goals, 27 assists currently), with only two Brazilians previously reaching that milestone (Roberto Firmino, 132, Gabriel Jesus, 118).

Richarlison, though, may not even be guaranteed to start. Former Liverpool forward Dominic Solanke scored against Atletico, but Tudor really should be trying to find a way to get the 28-year-old into the team.

He is not only Spurs' leading scorer this term (nine goals in all competitions), but his 13 goal involvements also rank four clear of any of his club-mates.