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Women's Super League predictions: Man City on course for the title with win over Brighton

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The Women's Super League resumes this weekend following the final international break of the season, with plenty of intriguing fixtures taking place at both ends of the table.

Manchester City take on Brighton in Saturday's only game, knowing a victory puts them within touching distance of their first top-flight crown in 10 years.

With Arsenal in Champions League action on Sunday, Chelsea have the chance to cement second place in the division, but face a stern test against Everton away from home. 

Manchester United could also take advantage of the Gunners' European commitments and jump up to third with a win over Tottenham, though defeat could prove costly, with Renee Slegers' side boasting three games in hand over them after MD20 has concluded. 

At the other end of the table, Leicester City will be looking to keep their WSL survival bid going with a positive result against the London City Lionesses, while 11th-placed West Ham face an improving Liverpool. 

But who will the winners and losers be? The Opta supercomputer has had its say on the latest round of top-flight encounters. 

BRIGHTON V MANCHESTER CITY

The weekend's action starts at Broadfield Stadium as title-chasing Manchester City make the trip to take on Brighton, who will be looking to spoil Andree Jeglertz's side's party. 

Heading into Saturday's clash, the Citizens boast a nine-point buffer at the top of the WSL over Chelsea, needing just two more wins to lift the title for the first time since 2015-16.

They signed off for the international break with a 3-0 thrashing against rivals Manchester United, while Kiko Seike's second-half strike helped Brighton down Leicester City. 

However, the Opta supercomputer has predicted City to edge closer to the first WSL crown since 2015-16, with Jeglertz's side assigned a win probability of 72.2%, while Brighton's chances of victory are rated at just 12.2%. 

That owes in part to City's dominant record in this fixture. Brighton have lost 12 of their 14 WSL games against them, with the exceptions of a 0-0 draw in September 2020 and a 1-0 win in November 2023.

In addition, City have won all six of their top-flight away games against Brighton by an aggregate score of 27-4, and they arrive into this game with confidence. 

They have won 16 of their last 18 league games (D1 L1) and have won each of their last 17 matches when taking the lead at any stage – the Citizens and Man United are the only two teams that have not lost a single point from a winning position this term. 

And Vivianne Miedema could also make history here. She is just three goals away from becoming the first player in WSL history to score 100 goals.

The Dutchwoman has 16 goal involvements (eight goals, eight assists) against Brighton in the top flight, with her own tally of 19 against Bristol City the only instance of a player recording more goal involvements against one side in the competition.

TOTTENHAM V MANCHESTER UNITED

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is the venue for Manchester United's WSL clash with Spurs on Sunday, with the Red Devils' hopes of a return to the Champions League taking a hit in recent weeks as they sit outside the top three on goal difference. 

Marc Skinner's side were thumped 3-0 in the Manchester derby last time out, and they come up against a Tottenham side in desperate need of all three points.

Tottenham have lost their last three WSL games, the only time they have lost consecutive matches this campaign. They have lost their last two matches 5-2, never before conceding more than three goals in three straight outings in the competition.  

And the odds are firmly stacked against them. Tottenham have never beaten United in the WSL in 13 attempts (D3 L10). Only West Ham (16 v Chelsea), Reading (14 v Arsenal) and Everton (14 v Man United) have faced an opponent more times in the competition without ever winning.

Given their poor run of form not only in this fixture but in the WSL of late, the Opta supercomputer has predicted Tottenham's woes to continue here, handing them a 22.4% chance of victory to United's 55.5%, while a draw is given a likelihood of 22.1%. 

But the Red Devils are also struggling, having lost each of their last three matches in all competitions, their outright longest run since becoming a WSL side. One of those defeats have been in the top flight, and they could lose back-to-back league matches for just the third time under Skinner. 

Goals could be expected here too, given United came from 3-0 down to draw 3-3 with Tottenham in the reverse fixture in December, one of only two times in WSL history that a team have trailed by three or more goals and avoided defeat. 

LONDON CITY LIONESSES V LEICESTER CITY

Leicester City will be looking to keep their slim hopes of survival intact when they travel to Copperjax Community Stadium to take on the London City Lionesses. 

The Foxes are assigned a 7.3% chance of retaining their top-flight status as they find themselves four points off West Ham in the table, and could follow the men's team in dropping a division in what has been a dismal season for the club. 

However, hope is not lost, particularly against London City. Following a 1-0 win in the reverse fixture in December, Leicester are aiming to complete a double over any opponent in a WSL campaign for the first time since the 2023-24 season, when they achieved it over both Everton and newly promoted Bristol City.

This will be the third meeting between London City and Leicester this season in all competitions, with the Foxes winning 1-0 away in the League Cup and 1-0 at home in the WSL.

And the Foxes will fancy their chances here, given their opponents come into the game having won just one of their last 10 league games (D3 L6). However, since the start of December 2025, only Leicester (three – W1 L8) have won fewer points than Eder Maestre's side (six).

But Leicester's struggles have come on the road. They remain on the longest winless streak away from home in WSL history (P24 D7 L17), losing six of eight games this season and scoring just twice on their travels. 

London City are, however, winless in their last five top-flight games (D2 L3) and only once in their history have they had a longer winless streak in the league, going seven without victory in WSL2 between November 2023 and February 2024.

Across the Opta supercomputer pre-match simulations, London City came out on top in 58.9% of scenarios, while Leicester are handed a win probability of 19.7%.

EVERTON V CHELSEA

Chelsea entered the international break by booking their place in the FA Cup semi-finals with a 2-1 win over London rivals Tottenham, but their attention now turns to league action, where defeat could see their title defence come to an end. 

A trip to Merseyside is on the agenda for Sonia Bompastor's side this weekend, with Everton hoping to do Man City a favour while also ensuring a return to winning ways. 

Having won their first three league games under Scott Phelan, Everton have since lost their last two. The Toffees could lose three straight matches for the third time in the WSL this season, something they did not do once last season.

But they did end a run of 11 consecutive league losses against Chelsea with a 1-0 win at Kingsmeadow earlier this season and could now complete a league double over the Blues for the first time since 2013. No side have achieved that against Chelsea overall since Man City in 2016.

However, Chelsea are unbeaten in each of their last eight WSL away games against Everton (W7 D1), winning each of the last five in a row by an aggregate score of 17-1, since a 3-2 loss in September 2013, and that run is expected to continue here. 

The Opta supercomputer predicts Chelsea to come out on top in 74.5% of its 10,000 data-led simulations, the highest of any team on MD20, compared to Everton's probability of 11.1%. The likelihood of the spoils being shared are rated slightly higher at 14.4%. 

But Chelsea are not the same team from their title-winning campaign. They have won just two of their last seven WSL away games (D4 L1), drawing 1-1 with newly promoted London City last time out.   

In addition, the Blues have conceded 18 goals in the league this season, last conceding more in a campaign in 2013 (27). Chelsea are averaging 0.95 goals against per game, which is their worst rate since 2016 (1.06).  

LIVERPOOL V WEST HAM

West Ham's hopes of survival remain in the balance after drawing 1-1 with London City before the international break, and the latest test of their top-flight credentials comes against a resurgent Liverpool side. 

Having failed to win their first 12 league matches of the season (D4 L8), Liverpool have since picked up four wins across their last seven games (D1 L2), and since MD13 only Man City, Man United (both 16) and Arsenal (15) have won more points in the top-flight than the Reds (13).  

Liverpool beat Everton 3-2 in the Merseyside derby on MD19 and could win back-to-back WSL matches for the first time since March 2025. Only West Ham (50 games) and Leicester (60 games) are on a longer wait for consecutive top-flight victories than the Reds (25 games) among current WSL teams.

And previous results between the two sides bode well for Liverpool. They are unbeaten in five previous home games against the Hammers in the WSL (W4 D1), winning this fixture in each of the last three campaigns.

West Ham have also won just one of their 11 WSL meetings with Liverpool (D5 L5), going winless in seven (D4 L3) since a 4-2 victory in February 2020.  

Rita Guarino's side have lost 12 of their 19 league games this season (W3 D4) and could equal their most defeats in a WSL campaign, set in 2020-21, 2022-23 and 2023-24, and that unwanted record is expected to be matched, at least according to the Opta supercomputer. 

Across its pre-match simulations, West Ham came out on top in 21.7% of scenarios, while Liverpool are handed a win probability of 55.2%, which could see them leapfrog both Everton and Villa in the standings.