After another international break, the Women's Super League is back, with the race at the top of the table heating up.

Manchester City's 3-0 derby win over Manchester United in mid-November saw them open up a three-point lead over reigning champions Chelsea, who dropped points against bottom-of-the-table Liverpool.

But United, Arsenal and Tottenham are all looking to keep the pressure on the top two as they attempt to get their seasons back on track.

The Gunners kick off the weekend on Saturday against Liverpool, who are still searching for their first win of the campaign, before City can extend their lead at the top against Leicester City.

United and Spurs are both looking to return to winning ways against West Ham and Aston Villa, respectively, while Chelsea round off the matchday against Everton.

But who are the likely winners in the WSL this weekend? We use Opta data to find out.

ARSENAL V LIVERPOOL

Arsenal have the chance to move up to third ahead of the weekend's other games with a win on Saturday, while Liverpool are in desperate need of three points.

The Gunners are heavy favourites to win with the Opta supercomputer, though, at 78.2%, with Liverpool only given an 8.6% chance of a victory.

And that is because Arsenal have won 11 of their last 12 league meetings with the Reds (L1), while overall Liverpool have lost 19 times to them.

Next up, we travel to face Arsenal in the @BarclaysWSL  pic.twitter.com/Njg4Y8EZM5

— Liverpool FC Women (@LiverpoolFCW) December 1, 2025

Liverpool have failed to win any of their first nine WSL games this season but have drawn each of their last two. Arsenal could also draw three in a row in the league, with the chance of a draw sitting at 13.1%.

The Reds' biggest problem is their 19 points dropped from winning positions in 2025 (W5 D2 L5).

Arsenal, meanwhile, have won the most points by coming from behind in 2025-26 (seven). Despite only losing once, however, their 16 points after nine games if their worst start since 2014 (11 points).

LEICESTER CITY V MANCHESTER CITY

Onto Sunday, and Man City have the chance to extend their lead at the top of the table to six points when they face Leicester.

City have won eight of their nine league games this season (L1) and will be aiming to become only the third team to win nine of their opening 10 matches of a WSL season after Arsenal (2018-19 and 2019-20) and Chelsea (2022-23 and 2024-25).

And they have lost just one of their last 25 WSL games against teams that finished the previous season in the bottom half or were newly promoted (W22 D2), and they have a particularly good record against the Foxes.

Leicester have lost all eight of their WSL matches against City, while each of their last seven such defeats have also seen them fail to score.

Each of their seven wins since February 2024 have come at home, but the supercomputer gives them just a 9.8% chance of claiming a first win over City, who are overwhelming favourites at 77.4%.

And Vivianne Miedema could play a key role; of players to score more than 10 goals in a single month, she has a better minutes per goal rate in December than any other player does in any month in the WSL (57 minutes, 14 goals).

LONDON CITY LIONESSES V BRIGHTON

London City sit in the top half of the table heading into MD10, winning 15 points from their matches so far (W5 D4), with Sunderland in 2015 the only promoted side to win more than that across their first 10 outings (19).

Brighton lead the head-to-head between the two sides 2-1 and have won their last two away games against promoted opposition.

However, they have struggled on the road in the WSL this term, with only Liverpool and West Ham (both 0) winning fewer away points than Brighton this season (one).

If they can put London City under pressure, they stand a chance of changing that, as their hosts have committed more errors leading to goals than any other team in the league (four), conceded two goals and four shots following mistakes in November.

The Lionesses have won each of their last three home games, and are expected to extend that run, winning 46.8% of the pre-match simulations. Brighton's chances of a first away win of the campaign sit at 26.8%, only marginally higher than the 26.4% likelihood of a draw.

MANCHESTER UNITED V WEST HAM

West Ham finally earned their first win of the campaign against Everton before the international break (3-1) but now face a Man Utd team looking to bounce back from consecutive losses.

United lost ground on the top two after those defeats to Aston Villa and Man City, respectively. They are looking to avoid losing three in a row for the first time in the WSL.

The Red Devils also conceded eight goals in their last two outings in all competitions, as many as across their 15 outings prior. They have also failed to score in their last two league matches, after scoring 19 across their first seven this season.

But West Ham may provide the perfect opponent as United have won each of their five home games against them in the WSL by an aggregate 17-0.

And the Hammers are one of three teams yet to keep a clean sheet in the competition this season (also Everton and Liverpool) – they have faced the most shots (129) and have the highest expected goals against figure (17.4 xGA).

As such, United come out on top in 79.3% of the supercomputer's simulations, with West Ham recording back-to-back wins in only 8.1%.

TOTTENHAM V ASTON VILLA

Tottenham may have won just one of their last four matches, but they are also looking to put some pressure on the top four when they host Villa.

Spurs ended last season with five straight home defeats but have lost just one of their five so far this term (W3 D1), and they are expected to get another win on Sunday at 44.4%.

However, while they won their first home game against Villa in the WSL, they are winless in four since (D1 L3).

Villa have only lost one of their last seven league meetings with Spurs (W4 D2), and are unbeaten in their last seven away games, winning five of those (D2). In 2025-26, they have conceded just once on the road.

They are given a 28.8% chance of victory, and 26.8% of a draw, and Rachel Daly could be key to breaking down one of the league's toughest defences – only against Reading (eight – six goals, two assists) has she been directly involved in more WSL goals than against Spurs (seven – five goals, two assists).

CHELSEA V EVERTON

Chelsea and Everton round off the weekend, with Sonia Bompastor's side aiming to get back to winning ways after draws against Arsenal and Liverpool.

The Blues are the most likely victors of the matchday at 88.8%, with Everton's hopes of springing a shock sitting at a lowly 3.9%.

Chelsea are unbeaten in each of their last 16 top-flight games against the Toffees (W15 D1), holding their joint-most wins in the competition against them (16 – level with Liverpool).

The reigning champions also hold the outright record for the longest unbeaten run in WSL history (34 games), and should they avoid defeat in their next two games, they will become only the fourth team to go a full calendar year without losing in the competition (W16 D5 so far).

However, Chelsea have failed to win three of their last five league games (W2 D3), which has seen them lose ground on leaders Man City. It is as often as they dropped points across the first 29 games of the 34-match unbeaten streak.

The odds are still stacked against Everton at Kingsmeadow, though, as they are winless in their last eight WSL matches (D2 L6), their longest such streak since May-November 2018 (10 in a row).